Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.063576 0.075054 0.087903 0.103339 0.121365 0.141736 0.166493
2025-06-01 0.045435 0.060098 0.078347 0.102668 0.134167 0.173520 0.226352
2025-06-08 0.034659 0.050107 0.070988 0.101141 0.143424 0.200441 0.282982
2025-06-15 0.028776 0.044775 0.067919 0.103611 0.157005 0.233595 0.351412
2025-06-22 0.023646 0.039253 0.063218 0.102363 0.164310 0.258053 0.410008
2025-06-29 0.019503 0.034334 0.058369 0.099715 0.168531 0.277763 0.463271
2025-07-06 0.016178 0.030073 0.053737 0.096432 0.170851 0.294237 0.512853
2025-07-13 0.014392 0.028107 0.052541 0.098562 0.182183 0.326350 0.591647
2025-07-20 0.012705 0.026001 0.050723 0.099212 0.190829 0.354671 0.667041
2025-07-27 0.011308 0.024193 0.049135 0.099964 0.199595 0.383985 0.747366
2025-08-03 0.010204 0.022770 0.048042 0.101437 0.209781 0.416857 0.837796
2025-08-10 0.009428 0.021893 0.047877 0.104675 0.223717 0.458191 0.948808
2025-08-17 0.008112 0.019651 0.044640 0.101258 0.224049 0.473687 1.012133
2025-08-24 0.007246 0.018275 0.043042 0.101104 0.231165 0.503605 1.108283
2025-08-31 0.006406 0.016811 0.041021 0.099701 0.235362 0.527920 1.195542
2025-09-07 0.005932 0.016150 0.040725 0.102158 0.248388 0.572301 1.330610
2025-09-14 0.005290 0.014951 0.038975 0.100931 0.252794 0.598359 1.428337
2025-09-21 0.004656 0.013657 0.036792 0.098320 0.253563 0.616296 1.509700
2025-09-28 0.004074 0.012396 0.034496 0.095081 0.252349 0.629471 1.581449
2025-10-05 0.003803 0.011964 0.034286 0.097183 0.264692 0.675870 1.737038
2025-10-12 0.003497 0.011375 0.033565 0.097824 0.273378 0.714401 1.877794
2025-10-19 0.003226 0.010840 0.032916 0.098565 0.282417 0.754786 2.027591
2025-10-26 0.003006 0.010424 0.032539 0.100019 0.293559 0.801686 2.199021